Strategy analytics
Month-by-month historical ABC simulation and a returns calculator.
Below is the historical ABC simulation with two sizing tracks: Optimistic 50% and Conservative 30% per position.
Pick a strategy and a year, enter your starting capital and (optionally) a monthly top-up, and the calculator shows how the account would have grown month by month.
How it's computed
- ✓ABC — gated chart signal (chop regime, volume node, next-bar reclaim, SMC Order-Block), broad 15-pair universe, long+short. Idealised fills (touch=fill).
- ✓Net of modelled fees, slippage and funding. ABC has history from 2019, but its pre-2021 years ran on a thin universe.
Per-year calculator
Zone-reversal signals. The 2026-07 honest recount (real fills + honest exit prices) showed: as an AUTO-strategy ABC ≈ 0. Its honest value is the probability layer on the chart: every order carries its historical hold rate (~10–50% by class). The table below is an idealized simulation (touch = fill), kept as history.
Total deposited
$1,000
Optimistic (50%) · Final
$2,035
Profit +103.5%
Conservative (30%) · Final
$1,575
Profit +57.5%
| Month | Deposited | Optimistic (50%) Return | Optimistic (50%) Balance | Conservative (30%) Return | Conservative (30%) Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | $1,000 | -8.5% | $915 | -7.1% | $929 |
| Feb | $1,000 | +8.6% | $994 | +3.9% | $965 |
| Mar | $1,000 | +21.9% | $1,211 | +16.1% | $1,121 |
| Apr | $1,000 | +8.7% | $1,317 | +7.8% | $1,208 |
| May | $1,000 | -4.1% | $1,263 | -3.9% | $1,161 |
| Jun | $1,000 | +9.5% | $1,383 | +5.9% | $1,229 |
| Jul | $1,000 | +2.1% | $1,412 | +0.9% | $1,240 |
| Aug | $1,000 | +9.6% | $1,547 | +5.6% | $1,310 |
| Sep | $1,000 | +5.7% | $1,635 | +4.1% | $1,364 |
| Oct | $1,000 | +3.8% | $1,698 | +2.0% | $1,391 |
| Nov | $1,000 | +11.5% | $1,893 | +7.3% | $1,492 |
| Dec | $1,000 | +7.5% | $2,035 | +5.5% | $1,575 |
10/12 months positive · These are SIMULATED results on historical data (backtest), not a live track record. ABC assumes limit-order fills on a price touch (idealised). Bull-year results are exceptional and not repeatable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice.